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Soochow securities interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. soochow securities said that the meeting of the Politburo in December put forward three new formulations, indicating that there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. The first is to "stabilize the property market and stock market". On September 26th, the Politburo meeting described the real estate market and the capital market as "to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" and "to vigorously boost the capital market". In December, the Politburo meeting put forward more directly and clearly: "Stabilize the property market and the stock market". The second is "moderately loose monetary policy". After 2010, the keynote of China's monetary policy has been "steady" for a long time, and it has changed to "moderately loose" for the first time in 14 years, and monetary policy is promising. In 2024, the regulatory mechanism of monetary policy has undergone a framework change. Since 2024, loan lending has changed from supply constraint to demand constraint, and monetary policy has gradually weakened its focus on quantitative targets and paid more attention to the role of interest rate regulation. Therefore, the adjustment of "moderate easing" in 2024 may mean that monetary policy will continue to exert its strength from the "demand side" in 2025, and continue to promote the expansion of effective financing demand by maintaining sufficient liquidity supply and reducing financing costs. The third is to "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment". The meeting pointed out: "enrich and improve the policy toolbox, strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and lay a good policy' combination boxing'". The expression "extraordinary countercyclical regulation" was first put forward.The main contract of coking coal rose 4% in the day and is now reported at 1198 yuan/ton. The main contract of coke rose by nearly 4% in a day, and is now reported at 1875 yuan/ton.South Korea's public prosecutor's office issued an arrest warrant against former defense minister Jin Longxian on suspicion of "civil strife and abuse of power". On the 9th local time, the special investigation headquarters of South Korea's public prosecutor's office said that it issued an arrest warrant against former defense minister Jin Longxian on the grounds of "civil strife and abuse of power". On December 5, local time, South Korean prosecutors banned former Defense Minister Jin Longxian from going abroad on the grounds of alleged "civil strife". (World Wide Web)

Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.Market information: Tim Kuniskis, the boss of Dodge and Ram, has returned to Stratlandis Stratlandis. Earlier in 2024, Tim Kuniskis resigned as an executive in Stellantis.Market information: Tim Kuniskis, the boss of Dodge and Ram, has returned to Stratlandis Stratlandis. Earlier in 2024, Tim Kuniskis resigned as an executive in Stellantis.

Silver rose sharply, rising 4% in the day, and spot silver rose 4.00% in the day, and is now reported at $32.20 per ounce. COMEX silver rose 4.00% in the day and is now quoted at $32.85 per ounce.According to the Interfax news agency, Ukraine reported that Ukrainian President Zelensky said that there are nearly 800,000 Russian troops in Ukraine.Valin Steel: The subsidiary plans to invest 2.499 billion yuan to build the technology development and industrial application project of extra-large diameter seamless steel pipe continuous rolling. Valin Steel announced that the subsidiary Valin Henggang plans to invest 2.499 billion yuan to build the technology development and industrial application project of extra-large diameter seamless steel pipe continuous rolling, and build the first advanced continuous rolling pipe production line with the largest diameter in the world. The construction period of the project is 18 months. After completion, Valin Henggang can realize the continuous rolling production of extra-large diameter seamless steel pipes with an outer diameter of φ 323 mm ~ 610 mm and a wall thickness of 7.3 mm ~ 60 mm. The project is funded by bank loans of 1-1.5 billion yuan, shareholders' capital increase of 1 billion yuan and their own funds.